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It took me 30 years to figure all this out. Click the link below to subscribe to updates and to receive training in the unique art of designing the perfect trading chart for navigating the binary options trading waters. What is the best charting service out there? Which is better, to chart Ticks, or Time? And, from time to time, I give away FREE OF CHARGE actual trading signals to can use to MAKE MONEY TODAY! Binary Options Trading Secrets Revealed! What are the most powerful indicators to predict the future market direction? You may call me AFTER trading hours starting at 7PM if you have any questions. Where should I point the indicator, to the price or the moving average.
There r guys whose pa skills r phenomenal but lag indis knowledge. Some great points in the opening post Martin. Hey guys, I thought I would resurrect this as I have a bit of time this weekend, and hopefully I can make it a bit more interesting with some charts! Very few of us are here on this forum, and in my opinion this is one the most valuable resources we have! The other flaw is that, as you say ITM trades were in line with indicators and vice versa, however, this is only because the market did what it did. It uses a combination of Average True Range, a standard deviation, and a moving average of that. That statement of course is a generalisation, but to put it so bluntly makes a point I hope.
If this is news to you then you need to get back to understanding the maths behind the indicators, and what they are and are not useful for. So i am only sticking to the ones i know best. If this had been a Spot thread I would probably have agreed with all of it. Do I win all the time? When we see a price bounce of a level three times you would call that a strong support or resistance, which is a fair assumption, and so the next time the price reaches this level, it will surely drop off right? So how do we put it all into practise? Level or the shape and formation of a candle are also lagging indicators of what has just happened in the market, cannot predict the orders that the market will need to process in the ensuing minutes or hours, which therefore means they will only be accurate under certain market conditions. Small hiccup in price, with another breakout of the temporary range.
We spend disproportionate amount of time on either one which is our preference that suit our personality. If a candle has momentum you might just see it keep going up and up in short sharp bursts with little resistance on the way, or alternatively it might get pushed back a little but then move further each time. HH says, ride the train! The pa guys pick those specific candles while the indi guys qualify them for market purpose n direction. This is obviously something you can generally see, but this is good because it can give you a better idea of where it stands technically, and how you might expect the market to behave after that. There are endless combinations of moving average which may or may not indicator turning points, you can have simple which is a moving average of the last X periods, or an exponential which is basically a weighted moving average of X periods, placing increasing emphasis on the latest data. There is no other way. If you are happy to put 10 indicators on your chart and then gamble away your hard earned cash on the basis that a green line has crossed a purple square while a red star has lined up with a blue triangle, then be my guest.
The reason I continue to be reluctant to place too much faith in indicators is that, while you could have a nice downtrend over 10 mins on a 1M chart, which will be shown by stochastics or whatever, you are far less likely to get 10 minutes of bearish candles. ITM trades than from 7ITM and 3OTM. Price Action and Candle theory and they are also very successful. They are not set levels which will hold because someone in the city said so; in fact it may well be the opposite. When you are starting off do not try to be clever with Martingale aspects. This means that these indicators have a limited use. We tend to rely more of one over the other, trust one n ignore the other. Is one approach, by its very nature, more successful than any other?
NEED an arrow, a dot, an arrow AND a dot, a change of colour, or any other specific RULES that will ensure they will score many winning trades. They are great as a visual representation of the market, you can see the trend, you can see the volatility, and you can see the moving average. Everyone who has heard of binary options has tried to use them, and many have failed as they may not understand them. Bull candles with no wick or bear candles with no shadow, as it forms it will move in its respective direction, be pushed back less, keep moving in its direction and vice versa. Indicators and 60s trades will not be consistently profitable. The price of the candle above 11 has dipped in and been pushed back up forming that long shadow. It is also far more valuable to know when to not trade! These are not trades, they are just some points of interest in the market.
There are various indicators for this, that can tell you all sorts of things. To expect them to study and understand the mathematical principles behind why a particular indicator turns green at a certain point is probably hoping for too much though. Money management is also crucial, and I mean this in its simplest form. So I want this thread to try and promote the converse side of that, hopefully it will get people thinking, and the questions that are asked will be constructive and thought provoking, as opposed to accusations and ignorant questions that could not difficult just be googled! The market is an oscillator which reverses, trends, reverses, trends etc. Forex which is not a black and white system either!
SFX TOR and you can just Google it and download it. But i do know that PA is just as effective if not better than indicators. All it shows you is whether the price is above or below the particular average, and the price will oscillate under and over as time passes. Inverted hanging falling star hammer. This is only my personal opinion because it works for me. One phrase that gets thrown around a lot is repainting of indicators. Whereas the indi guys are strong in the latter but weak in picking the exact candle to start the move. There r some guys who r damn good with indis but pa skills r weak. Of all the people on the internet, how many know about binary options, and then how many of them are bashing their heads against promotional videos and strategies promising success over night. At this point i like to say that i am not dissing the indicators but rather i started to see everything that is on my chart for what they are. As the description says, it will tell you when the market is trending or ranging.
Put both in the same room working together can produce potent results way beyond what each can achieve on their own. Yawyks, and I agree with you. Indicators can be very useful, but first let me tell you why they are not. Statistics is great for predictable and linear systems; however the market is by definition chaos. As I said I have a decent understanding of mathematics, so naturally, I try to pick apart most of the indicators offered on here and figure out what they do and why. The reason this is never as simple is because the bands themselves will move as well, so do not use it as a mathematical crystal ball, just use it to give you a quick and not difficult idea of what you might expect from the market! BOD, a rather popular thread call MBFX Remix. And it goes without saying, 10 uncertain trades will be many times more stressful than 3 high probability trades.
Price action is the basis of success in short term trading. Well here are a few simple reasons why not, and why we should stop placing so much faith in Bollinger Bands. You will not get this while demoing, and until you do, you will not understand what it means to trade, and alongside that taste sweet success and the bitterness of defeat. You could read all manner of these, and I would recommend it for a bit of motivation at times, but allow me to paraphrase: You can make serious money from binary options, however, it will not be not difficult, and nor will it be quick. This is also where the SFX_TOR indicator could come in useful, only as a guideline. We are all different. Binary Options are, conceptually at least, the easiest way into the markets for new traders.
Google it or search the forums to find one you like. The first indicator I will talk about is the simplest, the moving average. That is unless you r blessed with the ability to master both, which u hope that for yourself. Sometimes half an hour may pass with no good opportunities, resist the temptation to gamble. Binaries is targeting and the impatience that new participants will always bring. Indicators or not, PA or not, they only tell u what is happening at the moment. Each time new guys get a few OTM they either abandon the method altogether or embark on a constant search for new and additional filters, indicators and other verifying factors to help them to eliminate losing trades.
Thanks guys and particularly Hubba for your input, I think most of us aspire to have your unconscious recognition of the market, but as you say, that comes with time! Your last post is insightful, I liked the way you commented the chart. The first time you place a real money trade your heart rate will be elevated, your grip will tighten on your mouse, and you may even work up a sweat. Everything works, just not all the time. To acquire both indi knowledge n pa skills is too high a bar. The candles which have a long wick and short body at the top of a trend, or long shadow and small body at the bottom of a trend. Luckily though, there are people on this forum who may be able to help you understand why you got it wrong, so that you can then help other people in turn.
So the most profitable thing to do in many borderline situations is to not splash your cash. Juiced yourself up with screen time. No intention to go full time. Then i came upon a thread started by IS128 that uses BB and candles with wicks. The instructions for use are on the website as well. That was the first time in my trading journey that i actually see the implications of the PA rather than the indicators. What this means is that for most people the idea of studying Price Action, candle formations etc and then sitting there and looking for them as the day progresses represents a complete waste of time, or it involves the commitment of time that they believe they simply cannot spare. For example, if a resistance level is forming you might see the price jump, then get rejected, jump again, and get rejected.
All I am using is the closing picture on the EURUSD M5 chart, and I have marked a bunch of numbers on. It finished ITM a bit after I took this screenshot and started writing. Here are a few things I will say that I have alluded to throughout my post. Simply put, if the price is hovering around the bottom band at a moment in time, you would naturally expect it to shift towards the average, and if it was above, you would expect it to move back down. This is essentially a thread to discuss the use of price action for binary options trade. There are some guys on here who are clearly very keen to understand every aspect of each and every aspect of their trading, and full credit to them for that. Indicators are good, they can give you a technical assurance that what you think you can see is true. In Spot FX, my background as you know, I have one indicator, and one indicator only. To me this means the behaviour is overstretched based on the current volatility, but it also screams uncertainty. Number two is of course Bollinger Bands!
HA candles it is still a downtrend. There is nothing in the past indicating this way any kind of congestion zone, another unnecessary risk! Its impossible to find any other version. Despite so, i enjoy my part time trading journey thus far. Price action, well, most of my learning came from just staring a chart and not reading books about it. Skype groups are formed! What I fail to understand, as in most cases, it always starts with bashing the effectiveness of the use of indicators, somewhat a routine to reinforce the justification of the PA route. There are no shortcuts to making it! Please read through things before asking questions and offering advice, and express yourself clearly. The first part of this magical formula of success I am promising, is to understand what you are aiming for, and being disciplined in the approach to it. Stick to it or you will blow your account while revenge trading. Phd mortals does not add an iota of credence to the less effectiveness of the indicators for which they were built.
You start viewing the chart in a whole new way; a way that hopefully makes some sense sometimes. Then a large bull candle that engulfs the lot, followed by a relatively huge bear candle completely taking it out, crossing the moving average and closing with very little shadow. Very textbook signs of exhaustion to me here, candle bodies decreasing and ranges increasing. This is great on a high time frame, but on a 1M chart you can literally see the lines crossing and uncrossing over the course of the candle, and rarely do they form nice curves. For those otm trades, the indis r saying no go. At the same time, there are too many redundant indicators bearing different names but doing the exact thing. So what do we mean by price action? But as soon as it demands more of your attention, for example the crossing of a leading and trailing stochastic, then it starts to take away from what the chart itself is doing. Please ask questions and post your own contributions and interpretations! Dont blame the system.
With sound management and expectation of the inevitability of losses comes increased confidence, and that will often bring better results from better timed entries and so on. If you really want to use indicators, at least learn why they work, take some kind of basic course in statistics, and then make a judgement. Well indicators are dynamic so that is hardly a flaw, and if that is the definition of it, then your brain is a repainting indicator too; hindsight hurts a lot in trading! This is normal, your aim is to practise enough discipline for this not to affect you, and most importantly, affect the next trade you place, regardless of whether it was a good decision or not. Once the candle is closed, its up to you. Man, when it got to the 20th page, it was really like an accident at the paint factory. But, the unfortunate reality is this dream team is not going to happen, strife remains for reasons that you already know of. ITM, but just to break even in the long term. And if anyone starts talking about fractals repainting, I will find them and backhand them, a fractal consists of 5 candles, two in front and two behind. You point out that you always resisted PA, and this is something that I think a lot of people relate to. And not just waiting for that arrow to appear.
This was always true when Spot FX became available to retail traders in the late 1990s and beyond, and now Binaries has taken over as the new way to make instant millions in the markets. Anything u have on your chart, u should know the purpose they serve. Dont let a system define how u trade. PA is just far more boring there! Great thread going here. Which at the same time inherently created a weakness in us. Might seem kind of harsh but at the same time it is motivating. Inside bar bounce and continuation of downtrend. Materials for price action and analysis, books or courses if required.
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